Wednesday, February 25, 2015

Queuing For Petrol

If you’re the type to queue up for petrol before prices are hiked, make a note to fill up this Saturday:

01_brent

Since hitting bottom in the second week of January, Brent crude oil has rebounded to around the USD60-USD55 per barrel range (about 20% higher), compared to the USD47.80 average for January.

While Malaysia’s APM pricing is based on MOPS, not Brent, there’s an obvious correlation involved (MOPS includes refinery costs). February’s average Brent prices are pretty close to December’s (the difference is just USD1-USD2 per barrel), so we’re likely to see petrol and diesel prices close to those prevailing in January – RM1.91 for RON95 and RM1.93 for Diesel.

I’m expecting CPI inflation to now hit 0.3% in February, before rising to 1.1%-1.2% in March.

2 comments:

  1. Thanks for sharing your analysis. On the other side, O&G corporations are praying for price speedy recovery

    ReplyDelete
  2. I hope that the petrol price do not recover to the previous level. And unfortunately, low petrol price only last for a month, shortest month of the year.

    ReplyDelete